Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 129.353594 147.438792 167.463098 191.333332 219.084214 250.413048 288.577694
2025-12-21 104.634397 128.382708 156.937634 194.015571 241.197944 299.643837 378.160471
2025-12-28 92.414821 119.541438 154.161642 202.030843 267.198713 353.820826 479.351139
2026-01-04 82.587824 111.416687 150.007760 206.157070 286.953498 400.839125 576.795534
2026-01-11 73.318753 102.418430 142.951564 204.511018 297.368024 435.028088 659.927158
2026-01-18 67.764609 97.708002 140.959433 209.297985 317.004959 484.439610 772.906621
2026-01-25 61.850134 91.673762 136.141614 208.894099 328.116571 521.508365 871.136697
2026-02-01 57.472107 87.397108 133.357738 211.057480 343.178910 566.387353 989.129488
2026-02-08 52.396656 81.478116 127.314627 207.071261 347.202792 592.697206 1077.557923
2026-02-15 49.124147 78.082553 124.904079 208.736770 360.920228 637.439005 1207.308463
2026-02-22 46.328088 75.176872 122.960395 210.875392 375.543240 685.474517 1351.224941
2026-03-01 42.471803 70.138235 116.913310 204.998433 374.485927 703.367802 1435.850323
2026-03-08 39.195730 66.091313 112.689167 202.922500 382.272221 743.422833 1584.221535
2026-03-15 36.913070 63.605984 111.048117 205.646002 400.233843 807.835138 1803.109292
2026-03-22 35.656821 62.816072 112.365812 214.194846 431.255017 905.101222 2121.991690
2026-03-29 33.978656 61.069636 111.681419 218.600452 454.100089 988.260483 2426.407418
2026-04-05 31.741466 58.051536 108.233468 216.842648 463.091720 1040.995012 2664.406182
2026-04-12 30.474163 56.773913 108.054553 221.954838 488.375438 1137.150670 3046.364492
2026-04-19 28.745241 54.428405 105.487456 221.523476 500.568231 1202.948957 3358.639287
2026-04-26 27.432931 52.798287 104.222138 223.834108 519.726309 1290.257117 3760.382859
2026-05-03 25.636769 50.027063 100.301408 219.576714 521.865674 1332.445357 4031.219169
2026-05-10 24.511542 48.554125 99.015607 221.355445 539.776604 1421.736116 4484.903657
2026-05-17 23.511110 47.259445 97.993006 223.639618 559.389248 1519.820177 5000.101180